さあ！諸君！捕鯨問題だ！

イラストさん

私は以前にも指摘した事がありますが、シドニー 　 ホルト氏はその論文「Whale 　 Competing？」で、ミンク鯨生息数合算問題について直接言及して次のように書いています。

For the SHIO T&O consistently use a figure of 761,000 minkes, derived many 　 years ago (IWC 1991) from the first series of IDCR surveys. In fact, no such 　 number is cited by the IWC Scientific Committee, which gave its best estimates 　 of the number in each of six sectors of the Antarctic, surveyed in successive 　 years. The Committee did not add these six figures together to get a global total, 　 for good reasons: 　 having been counted in different years (and, indeed by slightly 　 differing methods) one cannot be sure that one is counting different“populations” of a highly mobile species. Furthermore, with that consideration, 　 the statistical error ranges quoted by ICR scientists are meaningless. However, 　 the fact is that when the data from the second series of survey cruises under IWC 　 auspices came to be 　 analysed it was found that the results were not compatible 　 with the earlier results; they were very much lower (less than one third), 　 and 　 now the Committee has decided that there is no acceptable estimate of minke 　 whales in the Antarctic.

ホルト氏は1960年から1997年までSCの最も重要な科学者の一人でした。

あなたは例えば「GPの書いたものは証拠として何らの価値が無い」などと、いろいろなハードルを作っていますが、公開された論文での当時の当事者のコメントについては如何考えられますか？

これを根拠がないと否定する為には、別の当事者の具体的、直接的な証言が必要になると思いますが・・・

げんた

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註：引用文中、SHIO 　 は南半球海洋、T&Oとは田村及び大隅のことです。