迫り来るバブル崩壊…奈落の底へ
投稿者: inside009 投稿日時: 2006/11/17 21:11 投稿番号: [6927 / 73791]
自転車操業の如き輸出拡大と、過剰な貿易黒字。それに伴って必然的に発生するウォン高。対内投資は不動産や株式などに向かい、実体経済と大きく乖離したバブル状態を出現させています。
このトピでは散々語られてきましたが、海外の専門家ももちろん指摘しています。
「韓国経済、90年代の日本経済と酷似」
『韓国は、中国ブームと日本経済回復という周辺国家の板挟みになっている上、ウォン高と原油高、そして不動産投機がマイナスの相乗効果を生み、 1990年代に日本経済が陥った“泥沼”と類似したわなにはまるリスクに直面していると、経済専門コラムニストのウィリアム・ペセク氏が主張した。』
同氏によると韓国経済の見通しが暗いのは
『高度な技術力を持つ日本と低コストの中国に挟まれている』
『北朝鮮の核も韓国にかつてない脅威になっている』
『先月だけで、全国のマンション価格が前月比で1.5%も上昇しており、2003年10月以降最大の月間上昇幅を記録した。今後到来する不動産価格の暴落は、韓国に致命傷を与える』
『韓国経済が直面する最も深刻な脅威は「政策まひ」である』
など、きわめて当然の事実を指摘しました。
http://japanese.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2006/11/15/200611150000
14.html
直近の韓国株式指数
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5EKS11&t=2y&l=on&z=m&q=c&c=
S. Korea's money supply growth at 41-month high in September
SEOUL, Nov. 6 (Yonhap) -- South Korea's money supply expanded at the highest pace in 41 months in September as financial institutions continued to pump out loans, the nation's central bank said Monday.
The nation's liquidity aggregate, the broadest measure of money supply, stood at 1,778.7 trillion won (US$1.88 trillion), up 10.1 percent from a year earlier, according to the Bank of Korea (BOK).
The September annual gain was the highest since April 2003 when the corresponding figure was 9.3 percent, the bank said. From the previous month, the liquidity aggregate was up 1.4 percent, it said.
"Loans extended by financial institutions continued to rise, and companies also paid corporate taxes and bonuses ahead of Chuseok," the BOK said. Chuseok, South Korea's fall harvest holiday, fell on Oct. 5-7 this year.
The aggregate liquidity extended by financial institutions amounted to 1,496.6 trillion won in September, up 9.5 percent from a year earlier and 26 percent from the previous month, according to the central bank.
Short-term liquidity, including cash, demand deposits and money market deposit accounts, also rose to 528.8 trillion won in September from 509.8 trillion won the previous month, while long-term liquidity declined. It accounted for 29.7 percent of liquidity aggregate, also up 0.6 from the previous month, according to the bank.
The central bank, which froze its key interest rate at 4.5 percent last month citing economic slowdown, is expected to leave the policy rate steady at the current level at Thursday's rate-setting meeting this week.
http://english.yna.co.kr/Engnews/20061106/620000000020061106134622E2.html
このトピでは散々語られてきましたが、海外の専門家ももちろん指摘しています。
「韓国経済、90年代の日本経済と酷似」
『韓国は、中国ブームと日本経済回復という周辺国家の板挟みになっている上、ウォン高と原油高、そして不動産投機がマイナスの相乗効果を生み、 1990年代に日本経済が陥った“泥沼”と類似したわなにはまるリスクに直面していると、経済専門コラムニストのウィリアム・ペセク氏が主張した。』
同氏によると韓国経済の見通しが暗いのは
『高度な技術力を持つ日本と低コストの中国に挟まれている』
『北朝鮮の核も韓国にかつてない脅威になっている』
『先月だけで、全国のマンション価格が前月比で1.5%も上昇しており、2003年10月以降最大の月間上昇幅を記録した。今後到来する不動産価格の暴落は、韓国に致命傷を与える』
『韓国経済が直面する最も深刻な脅威は「政策まひ」である』
など、きわめて当然の事実を指摘しました。
http://japanese.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2006/11/15/200611150000
14.html
直近の韓国株式指数
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5EKS11&t=2y&l=on&z=m&q=c&c=
S. Korea's money supply growth at 41-month high in September
SEOUL, Nov. 6 (Yonhap) -- South Korea's money supply expanded at the highest pace in 41 months in September as financial institutions continued to pump out loans, the nation's central bank said Monday.
The nation's liquidity aggregate, the broadest measure of money supply, stood at 1,778.7 trillion won (US$1.88 trillion), up 10.1 percent from a year earlier, according to the Bank of Korea (BOK).
The September annual gain was the highest since April 2003 when the corresponding figure was 9.3 percent, the bank said. From the previous month, the liquidity aggregate was up 1.4 percent, it said.
"Loans extended by financial institutions continued to rise, and companies also paid corporate taxes and bonuses ahead of Chuseok," the BOK said. Chuseok, South Korea's fall harvest holiday, fell on Oct. 5-7 this year.
The aggregate liquidity extended by financial institutions amounted to 1,496.6 trillion won in September, up 9.5 percent from a year earlier and 26 percent from the previous month, according to the central bank.
Short-term liquidity, including cash, demand deposits and money market deposit accounts, also rose to 528.8 trillion won in September from 509.8 trillion won the previous month, while long-term liquidity declined. It accounted for 29.7 percent of liquidity aggregate, also up 0.6 from the previous month, according to the bank.
The central bank, which froze its key interest rate at 4.5 percent last month citing economic slowdown, is expected to leave the policy rate steady at the current level at Thursday's rate-setting meeting this week.
http://english.yna.co.kr/Engnews/20061106/620000000020061106134622E2.html
これは メッセージ 6917 (may7idaho さん)への返信です.